• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint
Draft

Not all Fantasy Points are Created Equal

If you get to choose between a QB who is projected to score 300 points and an RB who is projected to score 300 points, who do you pick?

Well, it depends on what the other players at the position are projected to score. That’s the idea behind value-based drafting. It gives you a way to fairly compare players at different positions.

So, in the above case, if the QB is projected to score 50 points higher than other QBs but the RB is only expected to score 40 points higher than other RBs, then the QB is actually more valuable to you, even though they’re both projected to score 300 points.

Traditional value-based drafting uses the value-over-replacement concept, meaning it compares a player’s projected fantasy points to the projected fantasy points of the first player not being drafted as a starter. That’s a good (and arbitrary) way to rank players at a certain position, but it doesn’t really help your fantasy football draft strategy.

Do you really care what that replacement player is projected to do?

It doesn’t matter whether Aaron Rodgers is projected to score 300 points more than the replacement player or whether he’s projected to score 50 points more than the replacement player because you are not playing against a team full of replacement players! Over the course of the season, you are playing against a team full of the average starters at each position. We only care how Aaron Rodgers is expected to perform against the average starting QB! If each of your players outscores the average starter more often than not you’re going to come out ahead of your opponent and will find yourself in the fantasy playoffs.

Our matrix cheat sheet applies this logic so you can see who you should really be targeting. You already know to select high-end RBs and WRs, but top-tier QBs and TEs give you just as much advantage… and you don’t have to use a top pick on them!

Recent News

QB Prospect Notes: Dolphins, Colts, Saints, Rams
While much of the pre-draft quarterback talk has been focused on teams atop the draft board, there are plenty of additional squad eyeing prospects at the position. Over the past few weeks, the Dolphins, Colts, Saints, and Rams have been among the teams connected to rookie quarterbacks. As mentioned, the Dolphins have been among the […]
(Apr 2 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Chargers sign TE Jordan Petaia as part of the International Player Pathway program
The Chargers signed tight end Jordan Petaia on Wednesday, the team announced.
(Apr 2 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Minor NFL Transactions: 4/2/25
Just one minor move to pass along: Los Angeles Chargers Signed: TE Jordan Petaia New York Jets Signed ERFA tender: OL Xavier Newman-Johnson Xavier Newman-Johnson was tagged as an exclusive rights free agent last month, so his return to New York was all but inevitable. A former UDFA, the lineman has spent the past year-plus […]
(Apr 2 -- Pro Football Rumors)

NFL Confidential: Inside the league's tush push tug-of-war
Will the tush push be banned? Is Aaron Rodgers still tracking to sign with the Steelers? Jordan Schultz's Insider column has the latest.
(Apr 2 -- FOX Sports)

Buccaneers plan "massive renovation" to Raymond James Stadium
Raymond James Stadium opened in 1998.
(Apr 2 -- ProFootballTalk.com)