• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint
Draft

Not all Fantasy Points are Created Equal

If you get to choose between a QB who is projected to score 300 points and an RB who is projected to score 300 points, who do you pick?

Well, it depends on what the other players at the position are projected to score. That’s the idea behind value-based drafting. It gives you a way to fairly compare players at different positions.

So, in the above case, if the QB is projected to score 50 points higher than other QBs but the RB is only expected to score 40 points higher than other RBs, then the QB is actually more valuable to you, even though they’re both projected to score 300 points.

Traditional value-based drafting uses the value-over-replacement concept, meaning it compares a player’s projected fantasy points to the projected fantasy points of the first player not being drafted as a starter. That’s a good (and arbitrary) way to rank players at a certain position, but it doesn’t really help your fantasy football draft strategy.

Do you really care what that replacement player is projected to do?

It doesn’t matter whether Aaron Rodgers is projected to score 300 points more than the replacement player or whether he’s projected to score 50 points more than the replacement player because you are not playing against a team full of replacement players! Over the course of the season, you are playing against a team full of the average starters at each position. We only care how Aaron Rodgers is expected to perform against the average starting QB! If each of your players outscores the average starter more often than not you’re going to come out ahead of your opponent and will find yourself in the fantasy playoffs.

Our matrix cheat sheet applies this logic so you can see who you should really be targeting. You already know to select high-end RBs and WRs, but top-tier QBs and TEs give you just as much advantage… and you don’t have to use a top pick on them!

Recent News

NFL s best, worst teams at drafting in the first round since 2020
Using PFF WAR and PFF grading, we look at which NFL teams hit the jackpot and which floundered in recent first rounds of NFL drafts.
(Apr 3 -- Pro Football Focus)

Christian Benford: Contract is life-changing, but won't change how I approach the game
Bills cornerback Christian Benford's new contract will change his life.
(Apr 3 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

2025 NFL mock draft: Son of NFL legend taken at the end of Round 1; Bears, Cowboys strengthen offense
The 2025 NFL Draft officially begins in three weeks
(Apr 3 -- CBS Sports)

2025 NFL Draft: Top-10 quarterback prospects if everyone was eligible
Max Chadwick breaks down the top-10 quarterback prospects in the 2025 NFL Draft if every college quarterback were eligible.
(Apr 3 -- Pro Football Focus)

Fantasy Football: How the 2025 NFL Draft wide receiver class performed by situation
Jon Macri details how the 2025 NFL Draft wide receiver class performed by situation.
(Apr 3 -- Pro Football Focus)