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Tipsy Picks

Tipsy Picks Week 5

Tipsy Picks Week 5

Extreme Values. Miracle dependant plays. One-off shots off the beaten path!

You’ll need a few beers or a stiff pour of bourbon to stomach these picks…

I know everyone looks forward to my epic videos that I mostly remember making, but sadly I am on vacation this week and the signal just won’t be strong enough to upload the kind of quality production that you all deserve.

Let’s crack that beer and dive right in!

Tipsy QBs

Daniel Jones – $5,400 @ DAL

I know, I know, but a broken clock gets the time right twice a day. If I just keep picking him, eventually he’ll have that game that I can shout I TOLD YOU SO! This is it if there is going to be one! Darius Slayton has a very nice matchup against the worst D the league has seen in years. Line him up and Engram too! Come on Danny Dimes, this is it!

Derek Carr – $5,300 @ KC

We all love Mahomes every week but if you want Patrick and gang to go nuclear you need the other side to hang with em. It’s too easy to wanna play just Waller or Jacobs but let me make a suggestion. Line up CEH against this very beatable Vegas run defense, or lock in Watkins for his every odd-numbered week smash performance, and then drop in Carr with Waller. I’m telling you he will have to throw over 40 times and getting a piece of that volume for the lowest salary of a startable QB is a direction that can pay off in huge GPPs!

Tipsy RBs

Antonio Gibson $5,000 vs LAR

The Rams defense isn’t that good. We have a change at QB and Gibson was more involved as a dump-off option last week. I think they believe in the talent and will push to get him involved even more. People shy from this team but quietly Gibson, Terry and Logan Thomas are having a nice year.

Gibson Week by Week

1: 11 Touches 44 yards

2: 14 Touches 52 yards TD

3: 12 Touches 60 yards TD

4: 17 Touches 128 yards TD

5: ***24 Touches 135 yards 2 TD???? Eh? Eh?***

Chase Edmonds $4,700 @ NYJ

Drake has been unimpressive, he had a mild injury scare last week and with any luck, Kyler Murray and the gang put up a lead and quick. If Drake is ineffective again if they get a lead and don’t need him, or they are just that bad and need to keep throwing than Chase could see a season-high amount of touches. I don’t like any RB’s under 5k unless you believe Hunt will not get a big uptick in carries and D’Ernest Johnson gets a solid run in Cleveland (which I may lean into before the weeks up).

Tipsy WRs

Sammy Watkins $4,500 vs LV

Week 1: 21.5 pts

Week 2: 2.1 pts

Week 3: 13.2 pts

Week 4: 7.3 pts

Week 5: ?????

The pattern doesn’t lie…. Do it.

Preston WIlliams $4,100 @ SF

I like to take a team that kinda sucks against a team defense that has the perception of being really good and pick a guy that will be impossibly low owned with talent and potential to hit value+. Preston has all the talent necessary and a QB willing to take a bunch of deep shots. It’s a good recipe. I usually like to see higher target shares for guys even in the tipsy picks but this price point is nice and will be pretty much not owned. Maybe he should stay that way…

Cedric Wilson $3,100 vs NYG

Let’s get a piece of this DAL offense that is just airing it out. If you need to go basement floor on WRs this week there are little options so why not take a shot here. In the last 2 weeks he has seen 6 and 7 targets and will be an absolute steal should any of the three guys ahead of him get hurt. I’m rostering him in deep bench leagues of 12 or 14 teams and I am using him in a few salary save spots in big GPPs.

Olamide Zaccheaus $3,000 vs CAR

With Jones and Ridley banged up and Gage disappearing, it was OZ and Blake that stepped up for production last week. OZ looked like a legit candidate to slide into the 3rd spot that Gage occupies now and I think Jones sits this week giving him another opportunity for looks in a game I expect to be a high volume shootout. I don’t even think you need to be tipsy for this play!

Tipsy TEs

I’m not sure there is any stand-out Tipsy TEs but if you want to save some salary here are some guys I can get behind.

Eric Ebron- $4,000 maybe my favorite TE play this week overall

Logan Thomas- $3,500 in a matchup I already said I kinda like

Ian Thomas- $3,400 against a team that struggles to cover TE with a high total.

Tyler Eifert- $3,400 red zone target for a game I like to go over the predicted total.

Tipsy Defense

I’m, paying up at DEF this week, but if you want to go low…

Washington $2,600 – Front Line really pressures the QB. Goff can be forced into mistakes. A few sacks and an INT pays off if they can keep the pace of the game slow.

Cleveland $2,700 – Any team against Rivers gets Pick 6 upgrade!

Recent News

Steelers Have 1st-Round Grade On Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart
The Steelers have a first-round grade on Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart, according to Gerry Dulac of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, though that does not mean they’ll prioritize the position over other needs in next week’s draft. Instead, Dulac writes, Pittsburgh will likely target a defensive lineman or even a running back with their first-round pick. […]
(Apr 20 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Who s the best player in the draft? How about the 100th best? Legwold ranks them all
Jeff Legwold reveals his top prospect list, which is based purely on ability regardless of position. Who is No. 1?
(Apr 20 -- ESPN)

Offensive Rookie of the Year Jayden Daniels says he has to prove himself again: 'Last year was last year'
Daniels had one of the best rookie seasons in league history but thinks he needs to get better
(Apr 20 -- CBS Sports)

The Athletic's Mike DeFabo believes the Steelers won't draft Alabama QB Jalen Milroe if he's available at pick No. 21.
DeFabo notes in a recent article that Milroe "has generated a lot of buzz in Pittsburgh," and highlights comments made on The Herd with Colin Cowherd, who said an executive told him the Steelers "really like" Milroe. According to DeFabo, however, he's "hearing the exact opposite." The Steelers beat writer goes so far as to predict the team wouldn't take Milroe if he "is sitting there in the third round." The Steelers are in need of a quarterback, again, and the Aaron Rodgers saga doesn't appear to be getting resolved any time soon. Assuming there's a prospect they like in the draft, the Steelers feel like a near lock to take a shot on a signal-caller at some point, but DeFabo's bold prediction suggests Milroe is nowhere near the team's radar. We'll see how things play out in the coming days, with the draft just days away.
(Apr 20 -- NBC Sports)

Aaron Rodgers Age, Durability Were Giants Biggest Concerns
The Giants seriously considered pursuing Aaron Rodgers, but concerns about his age and durability were too significant for team president John Mara to move forward with a potential signing, according to Ryan Dunleavy of the New York Post. General manager Joe Schoen and head coach Brian Daboll preferred Rodgers to the other quarterbacks available in free […]
(Apr 20 -- Pro Football Rumors)

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