Tipsy Picks Week 7

Raise a glass to Jonny Danger and his weekly DraftKings sleepers!

Tipsy Picks Week 7

Extreme Values. Miracle dependent plays. One-off shots off the beaten path!

You’ll need a few beers or a stiff pour of bourbon to stomach these picks…

Let’s crack that beer and dive right in!

 

Tipsy QBs

Jimmy Grapes $5,300 vs NE (0.90%)

The Patriots Defense has been pretty stout. They aren’t giving up a ton of fantasy points really. But that could change this week. NE has been prone to turnovers, Cam isn’t really a clock-killing QB and Garoppolo has another week with a healthy team to throw to. Kittle is a BEAST, Deebo and Aiyuk can break one anytime and with Mostert out they probably will be throwing a bit more than normal. Look, he doesn’t have the upside of the top-end guys but if he goes off you will be on an island by yourself and saving $1000-$2700 versus the top- and middle -ier QBs and that is valuable.

Kyle Allen $5,200 vs DAL (1.2%)

Ok he’s trash. I get it. But Dallas. Enough said. Scary Terry is extremely talented, Inman is capable, McKissic is a legit threat out of the backfield. Washington’s front defensive line is good enough to keep them in the game. He’s $2,800 cheaper than Wilson… that’s a lot of dough to spread around elsewhere.

Derek Carr $5,400 vs TB (?%)

Pair him up with Waller and feel good. Carr has between 4x and 5x his value 3 of 5 games. He’s at home after a bye week with a team in Tampa that has been on fire. This game got flexed into the main slate so ownership isn’t out yet but I can’t imagine him more than around 1.5-2% owned.

Under-owned Favorites

Ryan Tannehill

Big Ben

Josh Allen

All three of these guys around 3% are way to low owned. I could make a case for each one as a pivot off the top end guys.

 

Tipsy RBs

JD McKissic $4,600 vs DAL (1.0%)

McKissic fits the season’s game script far more than Gibson. Even without Dak this Cowboys Offense can score and if WAS wants to keep in the game a bunch of check downs and wheel routes are coming JD’s way.

Chase Edmonds $4,900 vs SEA (2.4%)

Yes, Drake finally had a huge game. Even more reason that I like Chase. He had a low outlier of a game in targets but that will turn around against maybe the best offense in the league that they will have to keep pace with. I’m on the Edmonds train to out score Drake again.

David Johnson $5,300 vs ATL (6.2%)

I want to believe DJ has a big game left in his tank. Packers clear weakness is against the RB and you are getting 20 touches+targets from a guy under 6k and under-owned based on opportunity. Tipsy? Not really but I’m all in one last time.

 

Tipsy WRs

Jamison Crowder $5,900 vs BUF (1.0%)

Jets are terrible, I know, but he is getting 13,10,10,13 targets in his 4 games. How can you not look at a guy with that usage even in a terrible spot on a terrible team for under 6k and 1% owned.

Keelan Cole $4,700 @ LAC (0.9%)

Seems he has taken over the 2nd receiver spot in a game I like to go over. He has 3.5-4x scoring upside and will be severely underlooked.

Jalen Guyton $3,200 vs JAX (0.1%)

If you just can’t get off some big names and need that deep salary relief you can look at the homerun-shot of a deep threat for the Chargers. He only has 6 catches on the year but for 174 yards and 2 TD’s…

 

Salary Saving TEs

 

Greg Olsen- $3,600 an ignored part of a high flying offense

Chris Herndon- $3,000 plenty of garbage time to go around

Logan Thomas- $3,500 I like playing against Dallas

 

Tipsy Defense

I’m, paying up at DEF this week, but if you want to go low…

Atlanta $2,500 vs Lions can the Lions really pull off back-to-back competent games? I think not.