Our Ranks vs ADP

It’s helpful to know who we like better and worse than ADP. Just as we can use the delta column on the cheat sheet to find value – knowing when we have to reach and when we can wait – we can use these tables to get a sense of what positions we can wait on.

This is a list of our top-100 ranked players sorted by the difference between our rank and their ADP. Curtis Samuel, for example, we rank him 99 but his ADP is 132, meaning we like him 33 spots higher than most. At the bottom of the list are the players we like less than their ADP.

Player	Team	Pos	Rank	ADP	Delta
Curtis Samuel	WAS	WR	99	132	33
Michael Gallup	DAL	WR	90	122	32
Will Fuller	MIA	WR	80	106	26
D.J. Moore	CAR	WR	42	62	20
Deebo Samuel	SF	WR	77	97	20
Brandin Cooks	HOU	WR	84	103	19
Mike Williams	LAC	WR	89	108	19
Noah Fant	DEN	TE	94	113	19
Brandon Aiyuk	SF	WR	49	63	14
Robby Anderson	CAR	WR	74	88	14
Jerry Jeudy	DEN	WR	69	82	13
Tyler Boyd	CIN	WR	81	94	13
Chase Claypool	PIT	WR	57	69	12
Jaylen Waddle	MIA	WR	97	109	12
James Robinson	JAC	RB	38	49	11
Odell Beckham	CLE	WR	58	68	10
Tee Higgins	CIN	WR	63	72	9
Kenny Golladay	NYG	WR	64	73	9
Laviska Shenault	JAC	WR	95	104	9
Courtland Sutton	DEN	WR	68	76	8
Robert Tonyan	GB	TE	87	95	8
Calvin Ridley	ATL	WR	15	22	7
Diontae Johnson	PIT	WR	53	60	7
A.J. Brown	TEN	WR	18	24	6
Mark Andrews	BAL	TE	47	53	6
D.J. Chark	JAC	WR	79	85	6
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	WR	30	35	5
Javonte Williams	DEN	RB	59	64	5
JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT	WR	75	80	5
Tyreek Hill	KC	WR	8	12	4
DK Metcalf	SEA	WR	16	20	4
Justin Jefferson	MIN	WR	21	25	4
Terry McLaurin	WAS	WR	29	33	4
Chris Godwin	TB	WR	41	45	4
Dallas Goedert	PHI	TE	86	90	4
Antonio Gibson	WAS	RB	14	17	3
David Montgomery	CHI	RB	26	29	3
Allen Robinson	CHI	WR	36	39	3
Tyler Lockett	SEA	WR	51	54	3
DeVonta Smith	PHI	WR	76	79	3
Joe Mixon	CIN	RB	17	19	2
Robert Woods	LAR	WR	40	42	2
Amari Cooper	DAL	WR	44	46	2
T.J. Hockenson	DET	TE	55	57	2
Jonathan Taylor	IND	RB	9	10	1
Najee Harris	PIT	RB	13	14	1
Miles Sanders	PHI	RB	35	36	1
Mike Evans	TB	WR	37	38	1
Cooper Kupp	LAR	WR	50	51	1
Logan Thomas	WAS	TE	85	86	1
Antonio Brown	TB	WR	92	93	1
Christian McCaffrey	CAR	RB	1	1	0
Dalvin Cook	MIN	RB	2	2	0
Derrick Henry	TEN	RB	3	3	0
Alvin Kamara	NO	RB	4	4	0
Ezekiel Elliott	DAL	RB	5	5	0
Nick Chubb	CLE	RB	6	6	0
Davante Adams	GB	WR	7	7	0
George Kittle	SF	TE	28	28	0
Mike Davis	ATL	RB	56	56	0
Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	WR	66	66	0
Trey Sermon	SF	RB	83	83	0
Aaron Jones	GB	RB	10	9	-1
Travis Kelce	KC	TE	12	11	-1
Darren Waller	LV	TE	27	26	-1
Keenan Allen	LAC	WR	32	31	-1
Damien Harris	NE	RB	72	71	-1
AJ Dillon	GB	RB	93	92	-1
J.K. Dobbins	BAL	RB	25	23	-2
Chris Carson	SEA	RB	34	32	-2
Adam Thielen	MIN	WR	45	43	-2
Kyle Pitts	ATL	TE	46	44	-2
Chase Edmonds	ARI	RB	67	65	-2
Saquon Barkley	NYG	RB	11	8	-3
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	KC	RB	24	21	-3
Josh Allen	BUF	QB	33	30	-3
Julio Jones	TEN	WR	43	40	-3
Ronald Jones	TB	RB	78	75	-3
Stefon Diggs	BUF	WR	19	15	-4
Patrick Mahomes	KC	QB	20	16	-4
Josh Jacobs	LV	RB	31	27	-4
DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	WR	23	18	-5
D’Andre Swift	DET	RB	39	34	-5
Kareem Hunt	CLE	RB	54	48	-6
Darrell Henderson	LAR	RB	60	52	-8
Austin Ekeler	LAC	RB	22	13	-9
Aaron Rodgers	GB	QB	65	55	-10
Russell Wilson	SEA	QB	71	61	-10
Kyler Murray	ARI	QB	48	37	-11
Lamar Jackson	BAL	QB	52	41	-11
Michael Carter	NYJ	RB	88	77	-11
Ryan Tannehill	TEN	QB	100	89	-11
Dak Prescott	DAL	QB	62	50	-12
Justin Herbert	LAC	QB	70	58	-12
Melvin Gordon	DEN	RB	82	70	-12
Rob Gronkowski	TB	TE	96	84	-12
Myles Gaskin	MIA	RB	61	47	-14
Raheem Mostert	SF	RB	73	59	-14
Tom Brady	TB	QB	91	74	-17
Leonard Fournette	TB	RB	98	78	-20

So what do we see from the above list? Well, WRs really stand out. We like a lot of WRs quite a bit more than their ADP. This means we can wait on WR, while we solidify our starting lineup at other positions. If you’re in position to steal a stud WR, go for it, but don’t panic and reach for one.

Those mid-rounds are full of value for us. DJ Moore may drop to the 5th or 6th for us. Then we’ve got players like Aiyuk, Claypook, Jeudy, and a few others. Lots of solid options. Load up on RB early, get a top-QB earlier than you’re used to, and try to land a top-tier TE.

Let’s check out the next 100 so we can get a sense of who we can target in the later rounds.

Van Jefferson	LAR	WR	195	314	119
Tyrell Williams	DET	WR	173	247	74
O.J. Howard	TB	TE	182	255	73
Breshad Perriman	DET	WR	200	260	60
Austin Hooper	CLE	TE	158	217	59
Parris Campbell	IND	WR	183	242	59
Jakobi Meyers	NE	WR	133	188	55
Gabriel Davis	BUF	WR	155	209	54
Eric Ebron	PIT	TE	184	235	51
Blake Jarwin	DAL	TE	186	237	51
Daniel Jones	NYG	QB	189	240	51
DeVante Parker	MIA	WR	121	169	48
Emmanuel Sanders	BUF	WR	159	207	48
Sterling Shepard	NYG	WR	152	198	46
Nelson Agholor	NE	WR	148	192	44
Anthony Firkser	TEN	TE	167	203	36
Irv Smith Jr	MIN	TE	118	151	33
Rondale Moore	ARI	WR	146	178	32
Randall Cobb	GB	WR	176	208	32
Russell Gage	ATL	WR	143	173	30
Cole Beasley	BUF	WR	144	172	28
James White	NE	RB	163	191	28
Jamison Crowder	NYJ	WR	190	218	28
Jonnu Smith	NE	TE	126	153	27
Marvin Jones	JAC	WR	106	131	25
Jared Cook	LAC	TE	141	166	25
Bryan Edwards	LV	WR	162	186	24
Tyler Higbee	LAR	TE	111	133	22
Terrace Marshall	CAR	WR	161	180	19
Tre’Quan Smith	NO	WR	191	210	19
Elijah Moore	NYJ	WR	132	149	17
Marquez Callaway	NO	WR	139	156	17
Phillip Lindsay	HOU	RB	119	135	16
Adam Trautman	NO	TE	169	184	15
Corey Davis	NYJ	WR	104	118	14
Jalen Reagor	PHI	WR	160	174	14
Mike Gesicki	MIA	TE	109	120	11
Henry Ruggs	LV	WR	117	128	11
Sony Michel	LAR	RB	142	152	10
T.Y. Hilton	IND	WR	130	139	9
Gerald Everett	SEA	TE	181	189	8
Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	WR	197	205	8
Trey Lance	SF	QB	128	134	6
Marquise Brown	BAL	WR	110	115	5
Trevor Lawrence	JAC	QB	112	117	5
Evan Engram	NYG	TE	137	141	4
Matt Ryan	ATL	QB	123	126	3
Malcolm Brown	MIA	RB	194	197	3
Darnell Mooney	CHI	WR	127	129	2
Baker Mayfield	CLE	QB	134	136	2
Justin Tucker	BAL	K	140	142	2
Kirk Cousins	MIN	QB	153	155	2
Cole Kmet	CHI	TE	174	176	2
Derek Carr	LV	QB	193	195	2
Mark Ingram	HOU	RB	192	193	1
Hunter Henry	NE	TE	124	124	0
Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	QB	165	165	0
Zach Ertz	PHI	TE	175	175	0
Harrison Butker	KC	K	138	137	-1
A.J. Green	ARI	WR	185	183	-2
Younghoe Koo	ATL	K	151	148	-3
Jamaal Williams	DET	RB	115	111	-4
Mecole Hardman	KC	WR	125	121	-4
Justin Fields	CHI	QB	145	140	-5
Jalen Hurts	PHI	QB	103	96	-7
Jarvis Landry	CLE	WR	105	98	-7
Gus Edwards	BAL	RB	114	107	-7
Michael Pittman	IND	WR	120	112	-8
Ryan Fitzpatrick	WAS	QB	180	171	-9
Tony Pollard	DAL	RB	129	119	-10
James Conner	ARI	RB	102	91	-11
Kenyan Drake	LV	RB	113	102	-11
Greg Zuerlein	DAL	K	178	167	-11
J.D. McKissic	WAS	RB	157	144	-13
Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	QB	172	159	-13
Matt Prater	ARI	K	198	185	-13
Devin Singletary	BUF	RB	116	99	-17
Tyler Bass	BUF	K	171	154	-17
Buffalo Bills	BUF	DEF	164	145	-19
Jason Sanders	MIA	K	177	158	-19
Matthew Stafford	LAR	QB	101	81	-20
Nyheim Hines	IND	RB	150	130	-20
Zack Moss	BUF	RB	108	87	-21
Joe Burrow	CIN	QB	122	101	-21
San Francisco 49ers	SF	DEF	166	143	-23
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	DEF	136	110	-26
Giovani Bernard	TB	RB	196	170	-26
New England Patriots	NE	DEF	188	161	-27
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	DEF	154	125	-29
Alexander Mattison	MIN	RB	156	127	-29
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	DEF	135	105	-30
Tevin Coleman	NYJ	RB	187	157	-30
David Johnson	HOU	RB	131	100	-31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TB	DEF	147	116	-31
Deshaun Watson	HOU	QB	170	138	-32
Indianapolis Colts	IND	DEF	179	147	-32
Washington Football Team	WAS	DEF	149	114	-35
Michael Thomas	NO	WR	107	67	-40
Latavius Murray	NO	RB	168	123	-45
Rashaad Penny	SEA	RB	199	146	-53

What stands out on this list? TEs. If you miss out on a top-tier TE, wait and grab one or two of these late-round values.

We also see James White on the list, ranked 28 spots higher than ADP. We already mentioned him in our Bet the Don’t article as a player we’re high on.

After James White, we see a lot of RBs at the bottom of the list. There just simply isn’t RB upside late in drafts. Let the masses grab RBs who have no chance of cracking their starting lineup or are only insurance policies, while you’re focusing on upside WRs or a second upside defense.

So there you go. Your cheat sheet will already incorporate this data into the delta column, but this gives us a general sense of a plan and confirms our strategy of RB early, high-end TE and QB, mid-round WRs, and, importantly, defense and kicker much earlier than you’re used to because you can see that you’ll have several highly-ranked upside players still available to you in the last few rounds of the draft. Don’t reach on these players at the cost of maximizing your starting lineup.