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NFL Best Bets Week 12

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

23-9-1 Against the Spread

Week 12 Starting Bankroll $345.25
TEN +8.5 -110 @ $10 
PIT -3.5 -110 @ $20 
TB -6 -110 @ $20 
^parlay +595 @ $10

previous Week 11 (Bankroll $366.32)
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10 loss
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10 loss
^parlay +602 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Packers' LaFleur, McKinney heap praise onto deceptive' Purdy
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur and safety Xavier McKinney shared their thoughts on San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy on Wednesday ahead of their Week 12 matchup.
(Nov 20 -- Yahoo Sports)

Silver Lake co-CEO and Endeavor chairman Egon Durban will buy 7.5 percent of Raiders
On the heels of selling a piece of the team to Tom Brady and Richard Seymour, Raiders owner Mark Davis is shaving off even more of the equity in the franchise.
(Nov 20 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

FBI is exploring whether Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce burglaries are part of a "transnational crime ring"
Thieves are using "sophisticated techniques" to target and rob high-profile athletes
(Nov 20 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

NFL Injury Updates: Evans, Mosley, Ravens
The Buccaneers have lost four games in a row, the last three without veteran wide receiver Mike Evans as he has dealt with a hamstring injury. According to Jordan Schultz of FOX Sports, Evans has returned to practice this week and plans to play this weekend against the Giants. Without Evans, the team’s offense has […]
(Nov 20 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Minor NFL Transactions: 11/20/24
Today’s minor NFL moves: Chicago Bears Signed to active roster: WR Collin Johnson Denver Broncos Reverted to season-ending IR: S Delarrin Turner-Yell Los Angeles Rams Practice window opened: G KT Leveston Minnesota Vikings Designated to return from IR: TE Nick Muse Philadelphia Eagles Designated to return from IR: WR Britain Covey Seattle Seahawks Placed on IR: […]
(Nov 20 -- Pro Football Rumors)

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