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NFL Bets week 17

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

29-19-2 Against the Spread

Week 17 Starting Bankroll $190.73
TB -7.5 -112 @ $10 
IND -7.5 -110 @ $10 
GB +1 -115 @ $10
MIA -6.5 -110 @ $10
^parlay +1189 @ $5

Week 16 Starting Bankroll $197.03
MIN -3 -115 @ $10 push
DET -6.5 -115 @ $10 win $8.70
HOU +3.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +567 @ $5 loss

Week 15 (Bankroll $223.56)
NYG +16 -112 @ $10 loss
IND +4 -112 @ $10 loss (thanks JT…)
GB -2.5 -118 @ $10 win $8.47
SF ML -148 @ $10 loss
^parlay +1009 @ $5 loss

Week 14 (Bankroll $290.38)
LV +7 -112 @ $20 loss
CAR +12.5 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
ATL +5 -112 @ $20 loss
TEN -3.5 -112 @$20 loss
^parlay +1194 @ $5 loss

Week 13 (Bankroll $342.52)
LV +13 -112 @ $20 win $17.86
IND -2.5 -120 @ $20 loss
SF +7 -115 @ $20 loss
^parlay +548 @ $10 loss

Week 12 (Bankroll $345.25)
TEN +8.5 -110 @ $10 win $9.09
PIT -3.5 -110 @ $20 loss
TB -6 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
^parlay +595 @ $10 loss

previous Week 11 (Bankroll $366.32)
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10 loss
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10 loss
^parlay +602 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Cowboys To Interview Matt Eberflus For DC; Hire Expected
Matt Eberflus‘ name quickly emerged as one to watch closely regarding the Cowboys’ defensive coordinator vacancy. With Mike Zimmer known to be out of the picture, the former Bears head coach is indeed on track to fill that position. Eberflus is set to interview with Dallas for the DC gig today, and NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports […]
(Jan 27 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Matt Eberflus to interview with Cowboys on Monday
Matt Eberflus is expected to be the next defensive coordinator in Dallas and he'll take a step toward the job on Monday.
(Jan 27 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Patriots adding Thomas Brown to staff as passing game coordinator
Former Bears interim head coach Thomas Brown has found a landing spot.
(Jan 27 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Aaron Glenn plans to meet with Aaron Rodgers for a decision "much sooner than later"
On Sunday morning, Ian Rapoport of NFL Media reported that new Jets coach Aaron Glenn is "open to" the idea of keeping quarterback Aaron Rodgers for what would be a third season with the Jets.
(Jan 27 -- Yahoo Sports)

Report: Patriots add Doug Marrone, Milton Patterson to coaching staff
The Patriots have reportedly added a couple more individuals to new head coach Mike Vrabel s staff, including a former NFL head coach.
(Jan 27 -- Yahoo Sports)