• Welcome to Fantasy Football Blueprint
Betting Preview, Tipsy Picks

NFL Bets week 17

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

29-19-2 Against the Spread

Week 17 Starting Bankroll $190.73
TB -7.5 -112 @ $10 
IND -7.5 -110 @ $10 
GB +1 -115 @ $10
MIA -6.5 -110 @ $10
^parlay +1189 @ $5

Week 16 Starting Bankroll $197.03
MIN -3 -115 @ $10 push
DET -6.5 -115 @ $10 win $8.70
HOU +3.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +567 @ $5 loss

Week 15 (Bankroll $223.56)
NYG +16 -112 @ $10 loss
IND +4 -112 @ $10 loss (thanks JT…)
GB -2.5 -118 @ $10 win $8.47
SF ML -148 @ $10 loss
^parlay +1009 @ $5 loss

Week 14 (Bankroll $290.38)
LV +7 -112 @ $20 loss
CAR +12.5 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
ATL +5 -112 @ $20 loss
TEN -3.5 -112 @$20 loss
^parlay +1194 @ $5 loss

Week 13 (Bankroll $342.52)
LV +13 -112 @ $20 win $17.86
IND -2.5 -120 @ $20 loss
SF +7 -115 @ $20 loss
^parlay +548 @ $10 loss

Week 12 (Bankroll $345.25)
TEN +8.5 -110 @ $10 win $9.09
PIT -3.5 -110 @ $20 loss
TB -6 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
^parlay +595 @ $10 loss

previous Week 11 (Bankroll $366.32)
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10 loss
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10 loss
^parlay +602 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Steelers Expected To Draft Running Back
Quarterback obviously looms as a higher priority for the Steelers, who have seen their Aaron Rodgers dance extend beyond a month since an offer emerged. Whether or not the Steelers are souring on the aging great, they are likely to make a notable skill-position addition to play behind Rodgers (or Mason Rudolph, Kirk Cousins or […]
(Apr 18 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Chiefs Eyeing Tackle In Trade-Up Move?
Donovan Smith did not play last season, but the Chiefs did not effectively replace their Super Bowl LVIII starting left tackle. Kansas City started four players at the position last season, eventually seeing their setup unravel on the biggest stage. The Eagles’ dismantling of the Chiefs checked in as more alarming than the AFC power’s […]
(Apr 18 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Will the Seahawks draft a QB? GM says signing Drew Lock won't stop Seattle from potentially adding a rookie
The team currently has four quarterbacks on their 90-man roster
(Apr 18 -- CBS Sports)

Dolphins On Radar For Day 2 QB Pick
Can Ward is already assembling questionable rankings that prop up Titans skill-position players, all but assuring he knows where he will be drafted. This now reminds of last year, when Caleb Williams‘ draft destination was known weeks in advance. The cloudy outlook for this draft’s second batch of quarterbacks is now generating more intrigue. The […]
(Apr 18 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Restricted free agent Ar'Darius Washington did not sign offer sheet before deadline
Ravens safety Ar'Darius Washington has not signed his tender, but he also did not sign an offer sheet before Friday afternoon.
(Apr 18 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Recent Posts