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Best Bets NFL Week 7

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

You can see these models for yourself by subscribing though my affiliate link https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

12-3-1 Against the Spread

Week 7 Starting bankroll $309.04

Best Bets Week 7
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10
SF -1 -112 @ $10
IND -3 -130 @ $10
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10
^parlay +2317 @ $10

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Chris Olave (concussion) will not play in Week 7 against the Broncos.
Olave suffered the concussion early in the Saints' Week 6 loss to the Bucs and did not return. He has suffered multiple previous concussions and did not practice this week, so it's no surprise to see him ruled out a day in advance. Rashid Shheed's status remains up in the air. If he is also ruled out, Bub Means will be the team's de facto WR1.
(Oct 16 -- NBC Sports)

Panthers EDGE Jadeveon Clowney (shoulder) was limited in Wednesday's practice.
Clowney missed Week 6 with the shoulder injury after being listed as doubtful. A limited session to open the week is a good start for the veteran pass-rusher. He has one sack and two TFLs as a Panther.
(Oct 16 -- NBC Sports)

Diontae Johnson (ankle) did not practice Wednesday.
Johnson has been playing through the ankle issue for the past two weeks. He was a limited participant in all three of Week 6's practices before being listed as questionable. It's likely that today's DNP is part of a workload management regimen that could last a few more weeks. Barring any setbacks, Johnson should contniue to push through the ankle injury.
(Oct 16 -- NBC Sports)

Diontae Johnson: Held out of Wednesday's practice
Johnson (ankle) did not practice Wednesday.
(Oct 16 -- Rotowire)

Jakobi Meyers: Returning to practice
Meyers (ankle) is expected to return to practice Wednesday, with Raiders coach Antonio Pierce saying he's hopeful the wide receiver can play Sunday against the Rams, Levi Edwards of the Raiders' official site reports.
(Oct 16 -- Rotowire)

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