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NFL Best Bets Week 10

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

21-5-1 Against the Spread

Week 10 Starting Bankroll $408.46
BAL -6.0 -112 @ $20
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20
^parlay +590 @ $20

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Dak Prescott's Hamstring Partially Torn Off Bone
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott's hamstring is partially torn off the bone, NFL Network's Jane Slater reports. "I m told it typically takes more than a 4-week recovery," Slater adds. This injury can sometimes take 6-10 weeks to return from. Prescott is still seeking other opinions before the Cowboys decide whether to place him on IR. That seems like the most likely outcome at this point, though. And it's possible that Prescott misses more than four weeks. He's droppable in shallower fantasy leagues.
(Nov 6 -- Draft Sharks)

Chris Olave Consulting Specialists After Latest Concussion
Saints WR Chris Olave is consulting specialists after sustaining his fifth documented concussion -- and second this season -- in the Week 9 loss to the Panthers. We re more worried about Chris Olave the person and making sure that everything s good, interim HC Darren Rizzi said Wednesday. Then once he goes through that process, we ll bring it back to football to see how that fits in. When I say day to day, it sounds like coach-speak. He s kind of seeing some specialists and we ll go through the process." Olave won't play vs. the Falcons this weekend, and we wouldn't be surprised if he lands on IR later this week. Try to keep him stashed on fantasy benches for now -- but plan to be without him for multiple weeks.
(Nov 6 -- Draft Sharks)

DJ Moore says "tweaked" ankle forced him to leave the field mid-play
The Bears receiver defended himself amid criticism he quit on his quarterback and his team Sunday.
(Nov 6 -- ProFootballTalk.com)

Jaguars Sign C.J. Beathard From Dolphins Practice Squad
The Jaguars signed C.J. Beathard to their 53-man roster from the Dolphins’ practice squad on Wednesday, adding quarterback depth with Trevor Lawrence‘s status for Week 10 in question. Lawrence played all of Jacksonville’s Week 9 loss to the Eagles , but required some medical attention during halftime after taking a hit, according to ESPN’s Michael […]
(Nov 6 -- Pro Football Rumors)

CeeDee Lamb Limited Wednesday
Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. It looks like he's on track to play vs. the Eagles this weekend. An active Lamb would be tough to bench, but he sits significantly lower than usual in our Week 10 Rankings because of the shoulder injury and the absence of QB Dak Prescott.
(Nov 6 -- Draft Sharks)