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NFL Bets week 17

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds then what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

29-19-2 Against the Spread

Week 17 Starting Bankroll $190.73
TB -7.5 -112 @ $10 
IND -7.5 -110 @ $10 
GB +1 -115 @ $10
MIA -6.5 -110 @ $10
^parlay +1189 @ $5

Week 16 Starting Bankroll $197.03
MIN -3 -115 @ $10 push
DET -6.5 -115 @ $10 win $8.70
HOU +3.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +567 @ $5 loss

Week 15 (Bankroll $223.56)
NYG +16 -112 @ $10 loss
IND +4 -112 @ $10 loss (thanks JT…)
GB -2.5 -118 @ $10 win $8.47
SF ML -148 @ $10 loss
^parlay +1009 @ $5 loss

Week 14 (Bankroll $290.38)
LV +7 -112 @ $20 loss
CAR +12.5 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
ATL +5 -112 @ $20 loss
TEN -3.5 -112 @$20 loss
^parlay +1194 @ $5 loss

Week 13 (Bankroll $342.52)
LV +13 -112 @ $20 win $17.86
IND -2.5 -120 @ $20 loss
SF +7 -115 @ $20 loss
^parlay +548 @ $10 loss

Week 12 (Bankroll $345.25)
TEN +8.5 -110 @ $10 win $9.09
PIT -3.5 -110 @ $20 loss
TB -6 -110 @ $20 win $18.18
^parlay +595 @ $10 loss

previous Week 11 (Bankroll $366.32)
BUF -2.0 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
ATL +2.5 -108 @ $10 loss
GB -6.5 -108 @ $10 loss
^parlay +602 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 10 (Bankroll $408.46)
Bal -6.0 -112 @ $20 loss
NE +6.0 -112 @ $20 win +17.86
DET -3.5 -108 @ $20 loss
^parlay +590 @ $20 loss

Previous Week 9 (Bankroll $322.34)
TB +8.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
NE +3.5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
WSH -3.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^parlay +590 @ $10 win +59.00

Previous Week 8 (Bankroll $305.62)
IND +5 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
BUF -3 -110 @ $10 win 
 +9.09
WSH +3 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
^moneyline parlay +941 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 7 (Bankroll $309.04)
NO +2.5 -110 @ $10 loss 
DET +2.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
SF -1 -112 @ $10 loss
IND -3 -130 @ $10 win +7.69
ARI +2.5 -102 @ $10 win +9.80
^parlay +2317 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 6 (Bankroll $309.52)
SF -3.5 -105 @ $10 win +9.52
IND +2.5 even @ $10 win +10.00
JAX +1.5 -110 @ $10 loss
^parlay +645 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 5 (Bankroll $312.26)
IND +2.5 +100 @ $10 loss
BAL -2.5 -112 @$10 win +8.93
GB -3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
^Parlay +594 @ $10 loss

Previous Week 4 (Bankroll $285.04)
IND +1.5 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
NO +2 -108 @ $10 push
 ^parlay +267 @ $10 push/win +9.26
JAX +7 -115 @ $10 win +8.70 

Previous Week 3 (Bankroll $243.08)
GB +3 -120 @ $10 win +8.33
IND -1 -112 @ $10 win +8.93
^Parlay +247 @ $10 win +24.70 

Previous Week 2 (Bankroll $245.12)
TB +7.5 -115 @ $10 win +8.70
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 loss
NO +6 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
^Parlay +587 @ $10 loss 

Previous Week 1 (Starting Bankroll $200)
NE +8 -108 @ $10 win +9.26
SF -4.5 -110 @ $10 win +9.09
^Parlay +268 @$10 win +26.77

Recent News

Shanahan pinpoints what makes Lions' offense so dangerous
San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan explains what makes the Detroit Lions' offense so dynamic ahead of the 49ers' matchup on "Monday Night Football" at Levi's Stadium.
(Dec 28 -- Yahoo Sports)

Buccaneers To Reunite With OLB Shaquil Barrett
32-year-old veteran pass rusher Shaquil Barrett is making a return to Tampa Bay after a short time away. According to Greg Auman of FOX Sports, Barrett has cleared waivers after being cut by Miami and will sign with the Buccaneers. Auman’s initial report claimed it was a practice squad signing, but he later clarified Barrett […]
(Dec 27 -- Pro Football Rumors)

Former Pro Bowl LB Shaq Barrett to sign with Buccaneers, per report
Tampa is bringing back a familiar face
(Dec 27 -- CBS Sports)

Source: Ex-Pro Bowl LB Barrett returning to Bucs
Former Pro Bowl linebacker Shaquil Barrett, who was waived by the Dolphins this week, is re-signing with the Buccaneers, a source told ESPN.
(Dec 27 -- ESPN)

Reports: Shaq Barrett to join Bucs' practice squad
Free agent linebacker Shaq Barrett will join the Buccaneers' practice squad Saturday, pending a physical, according to multiple reports.
(Dec 27 -- Yahoo Sports)